Solar Minimum Update

Updated November 26, 2020: See the BOLD print below for the latest.

Has anyone noticed anything different about the Sun? Anything unusual? Well, there’s nothing different, nothing unusual. The Sun is just going through its normal cycle. The Sun goes through cycles. These cycles are measured by the number of Sunspots seen on the Sun’s surface, that is, the Earth-facing side. Each cycle lasts for about 11 years, with slight variations of time in each cycle.

The solar cycle was discovered in 1843 by Samuel Heinrich Schwabe, and using other observations, reconstructed the cycle back to 1745. Prior cycles were reconstructed from observations going back as far as Galileo and others in the early 1600’s. We seem to be presently at the end cycle 24.  Right now, the Sunspot number is increasing, as it has been for a short time. Let’s look at the numbers.

Cycle 24 peaked in April, 2014 with 101 Sunspots, the weakest in a hundred years. There was only 1 day in 2014 with no Sunspots. 2015 had 0 spotless days. 2016 had 32 spotless days. 2017 had 104 spotless days.

At the end of 2018, there were 221 total spotless days, yielding a yearly percentage of 61%. We had 281 total spotless days in 2019 for a yearly percentage of 77%. The last solar minimum of this magnitude was in 1913 with 311 spotless days. The NOAA/NASA Solar Cycle Prediction Panel had issued a new forecast. They believed that the current Solar Minimum would reach its deepest point in April 2020. Well, mid September looked like we were finally on the upswing. Now there seems to be no question.

Most sunspots this year have been members of the new Cycle 25.  As of today, we have had 206 spotless days, yielding a yearly percentage of 62%. Lately, all Sunspots have been cycle 25 sunspots.

Sunspots have a magnetic North and South Pole. The poles align with the Sun’s equator. Every solar cycle, the Sun’s poles reverse, as do the sunspot’s poles. 

Now, there seems to be more activity to be observed. There is the more frequent prominence, flare or CME (Coronal Mass Ejection). And then there are the “holes” in the Sun’s atmosphere (coronal holes) that let stronger than normal streams of solar wind (charged particles), target the Earth’s atmosphere and produce those awesome auroras in the higher latitudes. And on rare occasions, auroras have been seen in the upper US states. So if you have a solar telescope, keep watching, it’s not hopeless.

Keep checking back, we’ll keep you updated.